Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis ›› 2017, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (4): 710-714.DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2017.063

• Orginal Article • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Socio-economic Impact Assessment of Phasing out SCCPs in China

Mengqi YU1, Ziyuan WANG1, Ying WANG2, Chun XU1, Jianbo ZHANG1()   

  1. 1. Collaborative Innovation Center for Regional Environmental Quality, State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871
    2. Foreign Economic Cooperation Office, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100035
  • Received:2016-03-01 Revised:2016-04-07 Online:2017-07-05 Published:2017-07-20


余梦琪1, 王梓元1, 王滢2, 徐淳1, 张剑波1()   

  1. 1. 北京大学环境科学与工程学院, 区域环境质量协同创新中心, 环境模拟与污染控制国家重点联合实验室, 北京100871
    2. 环境保护部环境保护对外合作中心, 北京 100035
  • 基金资助:


The costs and benefits of phasing out short chain chlorinated paraffins (SCCPs) in China were analyzed under the 5-year and 10-year control scenarios by cost benefit analysis. The cost of phasing out SCCPs was 18.11 to 30.88 billion yuan, mainly from the substitution in downstream industries. The cost under the 5-year control scenario was less than the 10-year scenario. The benefit of phasing out SCCPs in China was 146.26 billion yuan. The 5-year control scenario was suggested for phasing out SCCPs.

Key words: SCCPs, socio-economic impact assessment, cost benefit analysis


利用成本效益分析法, 设置5年和10年淘汰情景, 对中国淘汰短链氯化石蜡(SCCPs)的成本和效益进行分析。淘汰SCCPs的成本为181.1~308.8亿元, 主要来自下游行业替代损失, 5年淘汰情景的成本低于10年淘汰情景; 中国淘汰SCCPs的收益为1462.6亿元, 建议采用5年淘汰情景淘汰SCCPs。

关键词: 短链氯化石蜡, 社会经济影响评价, 成本效益分析

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