In order to explore the impact of social, economic and industrial energy factors on air pollution emissions of the industrial sector in Hebei Province, the LMDI model was adopted to decompose the air pollutant emissions of the industrial sector in Hebei Province from 2013 to 2020. Four economic and industrial energy consumption scenarios were set according to the current economic development and pollutant emission trend. The contributions of future socio-economic and industrial energy effects to pollutant emission in Hebei Province by 2035 were predicted under these scenarios. The results show that the industrial structure and energy structure of Hebei Province have been thoroughly adjusted in recent years, and the dependence of economic development on industry has been reduced. The reduction of industrial sector capacity and the elimination of outdated production capacity have achieved remarkable results. Clean use of energy is still an effective means of industrial green and clean transformation. In addition, the current energy structure of the industrial sector still needs to be further adjusted, and the application of new energy and clean energy in the industrial sector is the main adjustment direction in future. The prediction results indicate that the slowdown of gross regional domestic product growth will promote the emission reduction of air pollutants in the industrial sector, and the contribution of the adjustment of industrial and energy structure to the emission reduction of air pollutants in the industrial sector will gradually increase.