北京大学学报（自然科学版） ›› 2026, Vol. 62 ›› Issue (1): 132-146.DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2025.065

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入境旅游与区域经济耦合协调发展——基于云南省的案例研究

樊艳翔1, 贺灿飞1,2,3,†, 李文韬1, 赵筱青4   

  1. 1. 北京大学城市与环境学院, 北京 100871 2. 北京大学–林肯研究院城市发展与土地政策研究中心, 北京 100871 3. 西南联合研究生院, 昆明 650092 4. 云南大学地球科学学院, 昆明 650500
  • 收稿日期:2024-11-08 修回日期:2025-07-14 出版日期:2026-01-20 发布日期:2026-01-20
  • 通讯作者: 贺灿飞, E-mail: hecanfei(at)urban.pku.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    云南省西南联合研究生院科技专项–基础研究和应用基础研究重大项目(202302AO370007)和国家自然科学基金(42571199)资助

Coupling Coordinated Development between Inbound Tourism and Regional Economy: A Case Study of Yunnan Province

FAN Yanxiang1, HE Canfei1,2,3,†, LI Wentao1, ZHAO Xiaoqing4   

  1. 1. College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871 2. Peking University-Lincoln Institute Center for Urban Development and Land Policy, Beijing 100871 3. Southwest United Graduate School, Kunming 650092 4. School of Geosciences, Yunnan University, Kunming 650500
  • Received:2024-11-08 Revised:2025-07-14 Online:2026-01-20 Published:2026-01-20
  • Contact: HE Canfei, E-mail: hecanfei(at)urban.pku.edu.cn

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摘要：

以云南省为研究对象, 使用耦合协调度模型、自然间断点分级法、核密度估计和Dagum基尼系数法, 探究入境旅游与区域经济的耦合协调特征的时空格局与差异。在此基础上, 使用随机森林回归模型, 分别识别影响云南省入境旅游、区域经济以及入境旅游与区域经济耦合协调发展水平的主导因素。研究结果表明, 云南省各城市入境旅游与区域经济耦合协调发展水平整体上不断提升, 向更高水平的协调发展状态跃进, 但区域发展空间不均衡性突出; 旅游财政支持力度、产业结构优化、交通运输水平、旅游资源丰富度、旅游设施丰富度、商业活动氛围和科技研发水平是影响云南省入境旅游与区域经济耦合协调发展的主导因素。

关键词: 云南省, 入境旅游, 区域经济, 耦合协调关系, 影响机制

Abstract:

This paper takes Yunnan Province as the research object, and uses the coupling coordination degree model, natural discontinuity classification method, kernel density estimation, and Dagum Gini coefficient method to explore the spatial-temporal pattern and differences of coupling coordination characteristics between inbound tourism and regional economy. On this basis, the Stochastic Forest regression model is used to identify the dominant factors affecting the coordinated development level of inbound tourism, regional economy and the coupling of inbound tourism and regional economy in Yunnan Province. The coupling coordinated development level between inbound tourism and regional economy of cities in Yunnan Province continues to improve as a whole, leaping to a higher level of coordinated development, but the spatial imbalance of regional development is prominent. Financial support for tourism, optimization of industrial structure, level of transportation, richness of tourism resources, richness of tourism facilities, atmosphere of business activities, and level of scientific and technological research and development are the leading factors affecting the coupling and coordinated development of inbound tourism and regional economy in Yunnan Province.

Key words: Yunnan Province, inbound tourism, regional economy, coupling coordination relationship, influence mechanism

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