关键词: 生态旅游承载力, 状态空间法, 提升策略, 漓江上游

Abstract: An evaluation indicator system of the ecotourism carrying capacity of the upper reaches of Lijiang River, a hotpot of ecotourism was constructed. The evaluation was carried out on the dimensions of ecological environment, social economic and tourism resources by means of GIS spatial analysis techniques and multi-level state space approach, on the basis of remote sensing data, GIS data, and socio-economic statistical data. After that, the space differential evaluation on the ecotourism carrying capacity of the upper reaches of Lijiang River was carried out. The results show that the overall ecological environment carrying capacity of this region is comparatively high. Specifically, the ecological carrying capacity in the western, northern and northeastern parts are relatively high. The overall social economic carrying capacity is lower, which presents relatively high in Guilin, moderate in Lingchuan County, and low in Xing’an County. The overall tourism resources carrying capacity is comparatively moderate in the region, while the northern Guilin, Xing’an County, the northern mountainous area, and the southern Lingchuan are higher. The area of ecotourism carrying capacity which achieves or is superior to the ideal state accounts is for only 29.28%. The spatial distribution of ecotourism carrying capacity is uneven, which means high in the southwest and northeast while low in the northern and southeastern parts. Finally, corresponding suggestions on the basis of evaluation are put forward, providing guidance for the development and protection of the upper reaches of Lijiang River region.

Key words: ecotourism carrying capacity, state space approach, promotion strategy, upper reaches of Lijiang River