关键词: 生活能源消费, 回弹效应, 多元回归计量模型, 节能

Abstract: Based on the existing research results from foreign countries, the evolution of the three definitions of rebound effect was summarized, namely energy efficiency elasticity of energy service consumption, energy service price elasticity of energy service consumption, and energy price elasticity of energy consumption. In the circumstances of data access limitation, energy price elasticity of energy consumption is an ideal definition of rebound effect to do empirical study. After considering the characteristics of household energy consumption in the whole country and the differences of energy consumption between urban and rural life, the author summarized the key impact factors for the energy consumption, and used them as variables to build a multivariate linear regression econometric model. After using E-G two step cointegration test and building the ECM model, here comes the conclusion: the equilibrium relationships exist between variables, and the long-term rebound effect is 0.27%, short-term one is 0.16%. Therefore, in the macro perspective, the residents’ household energy rebound effect aroused by efficiency improvement is small in China. It’s essential to continue adhering to the existing energy strategy and conservation routine. With carbon tax, subsidizing clean energy and electricity price ladder, people could take precautions against the rise-up of the rebound effect.

Key words: household energy consumption, rebound effect, multivariate linear regression econometric model, energy saving