基于LMDI分解方法的中国特大城市客运能源消耗研究

北京大学学报（自然科学版）

基于LMDI分解方法的中国特大城市客运能源消耗研究

张明^1,2,穆海林²

1. 中国矿业大学管理学院, 徐州 221116; 2. 大连理工大学能源与动力学院, 大连 116023;

收稿日期:2009-10-21 出版日期:2010-05-20 发布日期:2010-05-20

Research on the Change of Motorized Passenger Transport Energy Consumption in Selected Chinese Cities Based on LMDI Method

ZHANG Ming^1,2, MU Hailin²

1. School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116; 2. School of Energy and Power Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116023;

Received:2009-10-21 Online:2010-05-20 Published:2010-05-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 城市客运交通能源消耗受城镇人口增长、居民出行特征变化等因素的制约。定量分解分析以上各个因素的综合影响, 将有助于了解影响城市交通能源消耗变化的主导因素,以及各个因素的影响程度, 即贡献率。作者根据LMDI方法, 构建分析我国特大城市客运能源消耗的分解模型, 并应用北京、上海和广州的数据实证分析。结果表明: 多数因素都不同程度导致了城市客运交通能耗的增长。

关键词: 城市客运交通, 能源消耗, LMDI方法

Abstract: The change of urban passenger transport energy consumption is influenced by many factors, such as urbanization rate, resident travel behaviors etc. To better understand the dominant factors that influence the energy consumption, it is important to analyze the driving force quantitatively. Here, a new decomposition model based on LMDI method is developed to analyze China's passenger transport energy in mega-cities. Empirical analysis of the model is applied to Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou. The results show that most factors lead to the growth of urban passenger transport energy consumption in various degrees.

Key words: urban passenger transport, energy consumption, LMDI method

中图分类号:

张明,穆海林. 基于LMDI分解方法的中国特大城市客运能源消耗研究[J]. 北京大学学报（自然科学版）.

ZHANG Ming,MU Hailin. Research on the Change of Motorized Passenger Transport Energy Consumption in Selected Chinese Cities Based on LMDI Method[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis.

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https://xbna.pku.edu.cn/CN/Y2010/V46/I3/483