农村环境多主体仿真系统建构---农户模型在农村环境管理中的应用

北京大学学报（自然科学版）

农村环境多主体仿真系统建构---农户模型在农村环境管理中的应用

杨顺顺,栾胜基

北京大学深圳研究生院,城市人居环境科学与技术重点实验室, 深圳518055 ;北京大学环境科学与工程学院,北京100871;

收稿日期:2009-03-27 出版日期:2010-01-20 发布日期:2010-01-20

Construction of Rural Environment Multi-Agent Simulation System: Application of Agricultural Household Model on Rural Environmental Management

YANG Shunshun , LUAN Shengji

Key Laboratory for Environmental and Urban Sciences, Shenzhen Graduate School, Peking University, Shenzhen 518055; College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871;

Received:2009-03-27 Online:2010-01-20 Published:2010-01-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 针对我国农村环境研究现状和农户模型在农村环境分析中的问题, 借助基于复杂适应系统理论的多主体建模技术, 使用Swarm 工具开发了适用于我国农村经济- 环境评估的SFRE 系统, 能有效集成计量经济学、统计学和污染物排放模型, 并通过“虚拟农户”这一微观主体来涌现宏观现象。阐述了5 个主要的模型假设和系统主体规则,并简要概述了生产、消费、社会环境和环境评估4个子系统的设计方法。此方法是多主体建模用于研究完整的农村经济系统和评价农村环境变化的率先尝试。

关键词: 复杂适应系统理论, Swarm仿真, 农户, 农村环境, 多主体模型

Abstract: In view of the problems happened in China rural environment and the usage of agricultural household model to analyze rural environment, this research developed a Chinese rural economy-environment evaluation system,SFRE, based onthe complex adaptive systemtheory with the aid of SwarmTool. The SFRE system, which integrated econometrics, statistics and the pollutant discharge model effectively, could emerge the macroscopic phenomenon by the activities of microscopic agents ? “the virtual agricultural household”. Besides, the authors elaborated five main model assumptions and the agent rules , and summarized the designing approaches about four subsystems of the rural production, consumption, social environment and environmental assessment. It is an initiative attempt as a multi-agent based model for studyingthe rural economics completely and assessing rural environmental changes.

Key words: multi-agent based model, complex adaptive system, swar msimulation, agricultural household, rural environment

中图分类号:

N945

杨顺顺,栾胜基. 农村环境多主体仿真系统建构---农户模型在农村环境管理中的应用[J]. 北京大学学报（自然科学版）.

YANG Shunshun ,LUAN Shengji. Construction of Rural Environment Multi-Agent Simulation System: Application of Agricultural Household Model on Rural Environmental Management[J]. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis.

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链接本文: https://xbna.pku.edu.cn/CN/

https://xbna.pku.edu.cn/CN/Y2010/V46/I1/129

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