关键词: 循环经济, 适宜性评价, 复杂适应系统, Swarm仿真

Abstract: A swarm model is designed based on the circular economy concept model and the important character that materials circulate around circuit, with the benefit of the multi-agent modeling for complex adaptive system (CAS) theory. The results of the swarm model indicate that producer-consumer agent in recycle world performs no longer periodical change rhythms, but reaches dynamic equilibrium at the stimulation time of 150 steps. The highest limit of carrying capacity from 0.06 to 0.20. Feedback between “producer" and “consumer" has to be well operated in order to keep the system stability. Compared with present world, it behaves as four factors including technology, production, market and society that impact the feasibility in developing the circular economy in investigating area. This research builds up a series of semi-quantized analyzing indexes based on these four factors, taking Baoan District which is a fast growing area in Shenzhen as a case study. The results suggest that it should develop the weakly-related circular economy system in recent years.

Key words: circular economy, feasibility evaluation, complex adaptive system, swarm simulation