北京大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2016, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (3): 493-504.DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2016.026

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基于Meta回归模型的土地利用类型生态系统服务价值核算与转移

张雅昕, 刘娅, 朱文博, 李双成   

  1. 北京大学城市与环境学院资源与环境地理系, 地表过程与模拟教育部重点实验室, 北京 100871
  • 收稿日期:2015-01-28 修回日期:2015-04-14 出版日期:2016-05-20 发布日期:2016-05-20
  • 通讯作者: 李双成, E-mail: scli(at)pku.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(41371096)和国家重点基础研究发展计划(2015CB452702)资助

Ecosystem Service Valuation and Value Transfer of Land Use Types: A Comprehensive Meta-analysis of the Literature

ZHANG Yaxin, LIU Ya, ZHU Wenbo, LI Shuangcheng   

  1. School of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, Peking University, Beijing 100871
  • Received:2015-01-28 Revised:2015-04-14 Online:2016-05-20 Published:2016-05-20
  • Contact: LI Shuangcheng, E-mail: scli(at)pku.edu.cn

摘要:

基于Meta-analysis方法, 分别建立耕地、林地、草地、园地、水域和未利用地 6 个地类的生态系统服务价值回归模型。除考虑年代和评估方法外, 还引入分区和社会经济因素(包括人口密度和人均GDP), 发现这两个变量在解释生态系统服务价值变化时较为重要。使用价值转移研究范式, 将所建模型应用到京津冀地区, 计算各类土地利用类型的生态系统服务价值。研究结果表明: 土地利用类型按照生态系统服务价值高低排序为水域、林地、草地、园地、耕地、未利用地; 京津冀地区不同市区各类土地利用提供的生态系统服务价值不同, 其中耕地、林地、草地、园地和水域的生态系统服务价值中, 北京和天津最高, 承德和张家口最低; 未利用地的生态系统服务价值中, 张家口和承德最高, 北京和天津最低。研究成果丰富了生态系统价值评估的方法和技术, 也可为京津冀地区土地持续管理提供科学依据。

关键词: Meta 分析, 生态系统服务价值, 价值转移, 京津冀地区

Abstract:

Based on Meta-analysis, the ecosystem service value regression models for cultivated land, forest land, pasture, garden land, waters and unused land were established respectively. In addition to time and value method, the geographical division and socio-economic factors (including population density and GDP per capita) were also incorporated into the models. The performance of model indicates that these factors play a significant role in explaining ecosystem service value change. Using value transfer approach, the authors valued ecosystem service of land use types in Beijing, Tianjin, and 11 cities in Hebei Province. The results show that land use types ranked by ecosystem service value are waters, forest land, pasture, garden land, cultivated land and unused land. The ecosystem service values per unit area of cultivated land, forest land, pasture, garden land and water area in Beijing and Tianjin are more than other areas. The research results on the one hand can enrich the methodology and technology of ecosystem service valuation, on the other hand provide scientific support for land use sustainable management in study area.

Key words: Meta-analysis, ecosystem service valuation, value transfer, Beijing-Tianjin- Hebei region

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