Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis ›› 2023, Vol. 59 ›› Issue (5): 801-812.DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2023.050

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Study on the Relationship Between Industrial Structure and Land Use Structure of Rural Areas in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain: A Case Study of Quzhou County

WANG Nan1, HAO Jinmin2,3,†, HOSHINO Satoshi4, TIAN Yufu1   

  1. 1. Land Consolidation and Rehabilitation Center, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100035 2. College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193 3. Key Laboratory of Agricultural Land Quality, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100193 4. Graduate School of Agriculture, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502
  • Received:2022-08-25 Revised:2022-12-05 Online:2023-09-20 Published:2023-09-18
  • Contact: HAO Jinmin, E-mail: jmhao(at)cau.edu.cn

黄淮海平原农村产业结构与用地结构关系研究——以曲周县为例

王楠1, 郝晋珉2,3,†, 星野敏4, 田玉福1   

  1. 1. 自然资源部国土整治中心, 北京 100035; 2. 中国农业大学土地科学与技术学院, 北京 100193 3. 自然资源部农用地质量与监控重点实验室, 北京 100193 4. 京都大学农学部, 京都 606-8502
  • 通讯作者: 郝晋珉, E-mail: jmhao(at)cau.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    自然资源部“国土空间生态修复规划与项目监管技术支撑”项目(121108000000200001)、国家科技支撑计划(2015BAD06B01)和教育部国家留学基金委员会“国家建设高水平大学公派研究生项目”(202006350212)资助

Abstract:

Based on information entropy, deviation coefficient of structural change rates and vector auto-regression model, taking Quzhou County as a typical case, this paper made a comprehensive study on the dynamic change characteristics and interactive relationship of industrial structure and land use structure of rural areas in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain. The results show that in recent years, the evolution of industrial structure in Quzhou County has experienced the process of primary industry dominating, balance of primary and secondary industries and secondary industry dominating. The great proportion of land for the primary industry leads to the extremely unbalanced land use structure, but the land use structure is developing to an equilibrium state. Industrial structure adjustment and land use structure adjustment are uncoordinated, and land use structure adjustment lags behind, but there is a long-term and stable relationship between them. Before 2009, the adjustment of industrial structure promoted the change of land use structure, but after that, the causality was opposite. In the later stage, the driving effect of land use structure adjustment on the subsequent optimization of land use structure and the upgrading of industrial structure was more lasting and significant. Over a period time in the future, optimizing the land use structure of the three industries by improving the land use efficiency of the primary industry, exploiting the land use potential of the secondary industry, and widening the land use scope of the tertiary industry is an effective way to promote the continuous upgrading of industrial structure in rural areas of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain. 

Key words: industrial structure, land use structure, interactive relationship, rural areas, Huang-Huai-Hai Plain

摘要:

基于信息熵、结构变化率偏差系数和向量自回归模型, 以曲周县为典型案例, 研究黄淮海平原农村产业结构和用地结构的动态变化特征及其互动关系。结果表明, 近年来, 曲周县产业结构演变经历第一产业主导、一二产业均衡和第二产业主导的过程; 第一产业用地占比极大, 导致用地结构极不均衡, 但目前正在向均衡状态发展。产业结构调整与用地结构调整之间不协调, 用地结构调整具有滞后性, 但二者之间存在长期稳定的相互关系。2009 年之前, 产业结构调整促进了用地结构变化, 之后因果关系相反, 且后期阶段的用地结构调整对后续用地结构优化及产业结构升级的带动作用更加持久和显著。未来一段时期内, 通过提升第一产业用地效率、挖掘第二产业用地潜力以及拓宽第三产业用地范围等方式优化三次产业用地结构, 是促进黄淮海平原农村地区产业结构不断升级的有效途径。

关键词: 产业结构, 土地利用结构, 互动关系, 农村地区, 黄淮海平原