Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis ›› 2021, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (2): 291-298.DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2021.015

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Spatial Mutual Effects between Municipal Infrastructure Investment and Economic Development

CHU Jun1, LIU Yiming1, LIN Xiongbin2, TONG De1,†   

  1. 1. Peking University (Shenzhen) Laboratory for Urban Future, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen 518055 2. Faculty of Geography, Tourism and Culture, Ningbo University, Ningbo 315211
  • Received:2020-03-03 Revised:2020-10-29 Online:2021-03-20 Published:2021-03-20
  • Contact: TONG De, E-mail: tongde(at)


储君1, 刘一鸣1, 林雄斌2, 仝德1,†   

  1. 1. 北京大学未来城市实验室(深圳), 北京大学深圳研究生院, 深圳 518055 2. 宁波大学地理科学与旅游文化学院, 宁波 315211
  • 通讯作者: 仝德, E-mail: tongde(at)
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(41971205, 42001174)和北京大学(深圳)未来城市实验室铁汉科研开放课题基金(201804)资助


Based on the data of 241 cities in 2011 and 2016, this paper explores the spatial mutual effects between infrastructure investment and economic development through the spatial simultaneous equation model. The results show that the spatial lag parameter of infrastructure investment is significantly positive. It is likely to be explained by the imitation between municipals. Also, infrastructure investment and economic development have significantly reciprocal relationships. It is suggested to improve the budget management of infrastructure investment and to reform the evaluation and promotion system for governmental officials.

Key words: endogeneity, spill over, resource flow, repeated construction, spatial simultaneous equation


通过空间联立方程模型, 基于2011和2016年241个城市样本数据, 研究城市市政基础设施投资与经济发展的双向互馈及其空间相互作用。结果表明: 1) 考虑内生性后, 基础设施投资的空间滞后项系数显著为正, 地方政府在投资行为上模仿彼此; 2) 基础设施投资与经济发展之间存在双向互促作用。建议加强对基础设施投资的预算管理, 改革晋升绩效考核机制。

关键词: 内生性, 溢出, 资源流动, 重复建设, 空间联立方程