Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis

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Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Chinese Economy: An Assessment Based on EIO-LCA Model

JI Junping1,2, LIU Lei1,2, MA Xiaoming1,2   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory for Urban Habitat Environmental Science and Technology, School of Environment and Energy, Peking University Shenzhen Graduate School, Shenzhen 518055; 2. College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871;
  • Received:2010-05-27 Online:2011-07-20 Published:2011-07-20

基于EIO-LCA模型的中国部门温室气体排放结构研究

计军平1,2,刘磊1,2,马晓明1,2   

  1. 1. 北京大学深圳研究生院环境与能源学院, 城市人居环境科学与技术重点实验室, 深圳 518055; 2. 北京大学环境科学与工程学院, 北京 100871;

Abstract: The authors investigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of the Chinese economy by producing sectors from production-based and consumption-based perspectives. A sectoral GHG emissions matrix is built based on Chinese Economic Input-Output Life Cycle Assessment (EIO-LCA) Model 2007 to incorporate the two perspectives in the same analysis framework. This matrix provides a better understanding of the relationship between GHG emissions from production and final demand. The results show that electric and heat power sector contributes the most direct emissions, 36.24% of total emissions, of which 93.91% are due to the production for other sectors, especially construction sector. Final demand for construction sector acounts for the highest embodied emissions, 29.79% of total emissions, of which 97.10% are emitted in other sectors of the supply chain, especially electric and heat power sector. Electric and heat power sector holds the top embodied emission intensity of 9.88 ton CO2-eq/104 yuan, of which direct emission intensity contributes 89.70%.

Key words: EIO-LCA, matrix of sectoral greenhouse gas emissions, production-based emission accounting, consumption-based emission accounting

摘要: 基于中国2007年经济投入产出生命周期评价(EIO-LCA)模型, 构建了部门温室气体排放矩阵, 从生产和需求两个视角分析了温室气体排放在部门间的分布结构。此方法将两个分析视角整合在同一个框架内, 能更好地认识温室气体排放与部门生产和最终需求的关系。结果表明: 1) 从生产角度看, 电力、热力的生产和供应业的直接排放量最大, 占2007年排放总量的36.24%, 其中93.91%的排放因给其他部门的生产活动提供电力和热力而产生, 尤其是建筑; 2) 从需求角度看, 建筑业的隐含排放量最大, 占总量的29.79%, 其中97.10%的隐含排放量由生产链中的其他部门产生, 尤其是电力、热力的生产和供应业; 3) 从单位产出的排放看, 电力、热力的生产和供应业的隐含排放量最大, 为9.88 t CO2-eq/万元, 其中直接排放占隐含排放的百分比为89.70%。

关键词: EIO-LCA, 部门温室气体排放矩阵, 生产视角, 需求视角

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