This study proposes a theoretical framework for the coordination between the transportation system and productive force layout. Based on multiple big data sources, it evaluates their coordination characteristics. The analysis reveals that China’s transportation system exhibits a low level of coordination with productive force layout in several aspects, including infrastructure construction, service volume, service benefits and service quality. In particular, the level is much lower in the northwestern, the southwestern and northeastern regions of China, but relatively higher in the eastern coastal regions and central regions (with mismatches remaining in some individual cities). The study also predicts transportation demand for 2030, and proposes coordination strategies between China’s transportation system and major productive force layout, namely “three belts and six zones, three types of multi-areas, four types of multi-networks, and five poles and nine axes”. The strategies aim to advance in-depth integration of transportation and productive forces across point, line, network and regional dimensions. These results contribute to policy-making for optimizing the national comprehensive three-dimensional transport network, shaping multi-center and networked territorial space, and building a new pattern of sea-land transportation corridors.

构建交通运输与重大生产力布局适配理论, 采用多源大数据, 评估中国交通运输体系与重大生产力布局适配特征。结果表明, 当前我国交通运输体系各维度(设施建设、服务水平、服务效益和服务质量)与重大生产力布局的适配性整体上较低, 其中西北、西南及东北地区的适配性较差, 而东部沿海和中部地区相对较好, 但部分城市存在失调问题。进一步预测2030年我国公路、铁路和航空等主要交通的运输需求规模与分布格局, 提出“三带六区、三类多片、四型多网、五极九轴”的适配战略, 从“点、线、网、面”多维度促进交通与生产力的深度融合。研究结果可为优化国家综合立体交通网布局, 打造多中心、网络化国土空间格局, 以及构建海陆通道新格局等提供决策参考。