Abstract: Directive was passed through in 2009, and it is scheduled that in 2012 aviation would be included into EU ETS. The authors introduce the EU aviation carbon trading policy, including policy time and scope, total quota and allocation system, MRV system, transactions and punishment mechanism. After summarizing the research home and abroad from 2005, the authors systematically analyze the possible economic impacts on costs and profits, demand and supply of aviation industry as well as impacts on tourism trading and other related industries, as well as the possible impacts on competitiveness and carbon emission. Above on, associating with the status of aviation industry in China, policy recommendations were raised for China to deal with EU aviation carbon trading.

Key words: EU aviation carbon trading, economic impact, Chinese countermeasure

摘要： 2009 年欧盟通过航空指令, 计划于2012 年将航空业纳入欧盟排放交易体系(EU ETS)。作者详细介绍了欧盟航空碳交易政策, 包括政策的时间范围、配额总量与分配、MRV 制度、交易及惩罚机制。在综述2005年以来国内外相关研究的基础上, 系统分析了该政策对航空业的成本和利润、需求与供给, 以及旅游、贸易等相关产业可能造成的经济影响, 并探讨该政策对航空公司间竞争和区域间竞争的影响, 以及对CO2减排的影响。在此基础上, 结合中国航空业的发展现状, 提出中国民航应对欧盟航空碳交易政策的策略。

关键词: 欧盟航空碳交易, 经济影响, 中国对策